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T. Cacao vs M. Karol prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. CacaoM. Karol
40.7 %59.3 %
Model favourite
M. Karol
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · T. Cacao

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaQualifyingclay12:25
T. Cacao
T. Cacao
vs
M. Karol
M. Karol
1705
Elo
1823
1571
Elo on clay
1741
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.16
Odds
1.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Cacao
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
M. Karol
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
6 – 4
7 – 16
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
2-5 (29%)
2026 record
8-12 (40%)
9-19 (32%)
Record on clay
23-31 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Cacao and M. Karol, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Karol comes in with an Elo of 1823, against 1705 for T. Cacao: a 118-point edge. On clay, the gap is 170 points in favour of M. Karol. T. Cacao won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Karol won 6. T. Cacao has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Karol has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Karol the favourite.

The model gave M. Karol the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Cacao won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Cacao's last five matches

M. Karol's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Cacao's first match of the tournament. This is M. Karol's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, T. Cacao turned 11 % of matches around (18 occasions), M. Karol 22 % (59 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Cacao went on to win 64 % of matches, M. Karol 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Cacao – M. Karol

Who is the favourite between T. Cacao and M. Karol?
The match is over: T. Cacao won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Karol the favourite, priced at 1.59 against 2.16 for T. Cacao. Pronocast's model had M. Karol winning at 59 %.
When is the T. Cacao – M. Karol match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 12:25, at the Braga tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between T. Cacao and M. Karol?
No meeting between T. Cacao and M. Karol appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Cacao – M. Karol?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026