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L. Neumayer vs M. Alcala Gurri prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. NeumayerM. Alcala Gurri
47.5 %52.5 %
Model favourite
M. Alcala Gurri
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · L. Neumayer

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaQuarter-finalclay14:10
L. Neumayer
L. Neumayer
vs
M. Alcala Gurri
M. Alcala Gurri
2005
Elo
2085
2011
Elo on clay
2051
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.03
Odds
1.71

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Neumayer
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Alcala Gurri
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
9 – 1
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
19 – 4
2 wins
Current streak
9 wins
39-22 (64%)
2026 record
30-10 (75%)
110-89 (55%)
Record on clay
54-38 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Neumayer and M. Alcala Gurri, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Alcala Gurri comes in with an Elo of 2085, against 2005 for L. Neumayer: a 80-point edge. On clay, the gap is 40 points in favour of M. Alcala Gurri. L. Neumayer won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Alcala Gurri won 9. L. Neumayer has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Alcala Gurri has 5 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to L. Neumayer. Bookmakers make M. Alcala Gurri the favourite.

The model gave M. Alcala Gurri the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Neumayer won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Neumayer's last five matches

M. Alcala Gurri's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Neumayer beat F. Broska (4-6 6-3 6-2), then O. Wallin (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, M. Alcala Gurri beat D. Blanch (6-1 6-2), then P. Schoen (6-1 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Neumayer wins 55 % (41 of 75), M. Alcala Gurri 55 % (12 of 22). In deciding sets, L. Neumayer wins 46 % of the time (90 matches), M. Alcala Gurri 39 % (28 matches). After losing the first set, L. Neumayer turned 20 % of matches around (103 occasions), M. Alcala Gurri 11 % (37 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Neumayer went on to win 77 % of matches, M. Alcala Gurri 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Neumayer – M. Alcala Gurri

Who is the favourite between L. Neumayer and M. Alcala Gurri?
The match is over: L. Neumayer won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Alcala Gurri the favourite, priced at 1.71 against 2.03 for L. Neumayer. Pronocast's model had M. Alcala Gurri winning at 53 %.
When is the L. Neumayer – M. Alcala Gurri match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 14:10, at the Braga tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. Neumayer and M. Alcala Gurri?
No meeting between L. Neumayer and M. Alcala Gurri appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Neumayer – M. Alcala Gurri?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026