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E. Moller vs T. Pereira prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. MollerT. Pereira
69.3 %30.7 %
Model favourite
E. Moller
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · E. Moller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaQuarter-finalclay17:00
E. Moller
E. Moller
vs
T. Pereira
T. Pereira
1936
Elo
1832
2005
Elo on clay
1839
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.38
Odds
2.83

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Moller
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Pereira
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
20-22 (48%)
2026 record
14-23 (38%)
84-47 (64%)
Record on clay
27-50 (35%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Moller and T. Pereira, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Moller comes in with an Elo of 1936, against 1832 for T. Pereira: a 104-point edge. On clay, the gap is 166 points in favour of E. Moller. E. Moller won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Pereira won 6. E. Moller has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Pereira has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Moller leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Moller the favourite.

The model gave E. Moller the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Moller won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Moller's last five matches

T. Pereira's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Moller leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Moller beat T. Monteiro (7-6 5-7 6-4), then Z. Piros (1-6 6-1 7-5). To reach this round, T. Pereira beat P. Martin Tiffon (6-3 6-4), then N. Sanchez Izquierdo (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Moller wins 60 % (35 of 58), T. Pereira 34 % (10 of 29). In deciding sets, E. Moller wins 55 % of the time (55 matches), T. Pereira 45 % (44 matches). After losing the first set, E. Moller turned 23 % of matches around (74 occasions), T. Pereira 13 % (55 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Moller went on to win 83 % of matches, T. Pereira 65 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Moller – T. Pereira

Who is the favourite between E. Moller and T. Pereira?
The match is over: E. Moller won 2-1. Bookmakers make E. Moller the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.83 for T. Pereira. Pronocast's model had E. Moller winning at 69 %.
When is the E. Moller – T. Pereira match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 17:00, at the Braga tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between E. Moller and T. Pereira?
Since 2020, E. Moller leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Moller – T. Pereira?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026