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T. Daniel vs S. Mochizuki prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. DanielS. Mochizuki
58.9 %41.1 %
Model favourite
T. Daniel
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · S. Mochizuki

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court06:10
T. Daniel
T. Daniel
vs
S. Mochizuki
S. Mochizuki
2069
Elo
1953
1869
Elo on hard court
1838
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
5
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.64
Odds
2.14

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Daniel
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
S. Mochizuki
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
2 losses
Current streak
2 losses
37-17 (69%)
2026 record
21-31 (40%)
127-98 (56%)
Record on hard court
118-111 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Daniel and S. Mochizuki, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Daniel comes in with an Elo of 2069, against 1953 for S. Mochizuki: a 116-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 31 points in favour of T. Daniel. T. Daniel won 5 of the last ten matches, S. Mochizuki won 4. T. Daniel has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Mochizuki has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Daniel the favourite.

The model gave T. Daniel the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Mochizuki won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Daniel's last five matches

S. Mochizuki's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Daniel's first match of the tournament. This is S. Mochizuki's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Daniel wins 51 % (65 of 128), S. Mochizuki 55 % (59 of 107). In deciding sets, T. Daniel wins 43 % of the time (104 matches), S. Mochizuki 53 % (121 matches). After losing the first set, T. Daniel turned 13 % of matches around (138 occasions), S. Mochizuki 20 % (170 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Daniel went on to win 81 % of matches, S. Mochizuki 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Daniel – S. Mochizuki

Who is the favourite between T. Daniel and S. Mochizuki?
The match is over: S. Mochizuki won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Daniel the favourite, priced at 1.64 against 2.14 for S. Mochizuki. Pronocast's model had T. Daniel winning at 59 %.
When is the T. Daniel – S. Mochizuki match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Daniel and S. Mochizuki?
No meeting between T. Daniel and S. Mochizuki appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Daniel – S. Mochizuki?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026