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T. Droguet vs M. Lajal prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. DroguetM. Lajal
55.5 %44.5 %
Model favourite
T. Droguet
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCassisFinalhard court14:10
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
vs
M. Lajal
M. Lajal
2166
Elo
2083
2061
Elo on hard court
2033
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
4
Recent matches
10
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.72
Odds
1.97

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Droguet
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Lajal
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
9 – 1
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
18 – 4
4 wins
Current streak
4 wins
40-19 (68%)
2026 record
36-20 (64%)
77-54 (59%)
Record on hard court
126-80 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Droguet and M. Lajal, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Droguet comes in with an Elo of 2166, against 2083 for M. Lajal: a 83-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 29 points in favour of T. Droguet. T. Droguet won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Lajal won 9. T. Droguet has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Lajal has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite.

The model gave T. Droguet the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

M. Lajal's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Droguet beat M. Chazal (6-4 6-4), then G. Brouwer (6-2 7-6), then D. Glinka (4-6 6-3 6-2), then N. Budkov Kjaer (6-7 6-2 6-4). To reach this round, M. Lajal beat L. Couturier (6-3 6-3), then S. Gueymard Wayenburg (6-7 6-3 6-4), then R. Bertrand (6-3 6-0), then D. Masur (7-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Harris, who beat D. Glinka in the final (3-6 7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Droguet wins 56 % (61 of 109), M. Lajal 56 % (60 of 108). In deciding sets, T. Droguet wins 59 % of the time (101 matches), M. Lajal 51 % (99 matches). After losing the first set, T. Droguet turned 28 % of matches around (113 occasions), M. Lajal 28 % (104 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Droguet went on to win 87 % of matches, M. Lajal 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Droguet – M. Lajal

Who is the favourite between T. Droguet and M. Lajal?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite, priced at 1.72 against 1.97 for M. Lajal. Pronocast's model had T. Droguet winning at 55 %.
When is the T. Droguet – M. Lajal match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 14:10, at the Cassis tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Droguet and M. Lajal?
No meeting between T. Droguet and M. Lajal appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Droguet – M. Lajal?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Cassis

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026