N. Budkov Kjaer vs M. Echargui prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
N. Budkov KjaerM. Echargui
64.9 %35.1 %
Model favourite
N. Budkov Kjaer
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · N. Budkov Kjaer

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCassisQuarter-finalhard court13:05
vs
M. Echargui
M. Echargui
1965
Elo
1847
1934
Elo on hard court
1828
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Budkov Kjaer
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Echargui
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 12
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
25-27 (48%)
2026 record
13-29 (31%)
37-23 (62%)
Record on hard court
41-45 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Budkov Kjaer and M. Echargui, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Budkov Kjaer comes in with an Elo of 1965, against 1847 for M. Echargui: a 118-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 106 points in favour of N. Budkov Kjaer. N. Budkov Kjaer won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Echargui won 4. N. Budkov Kjaer has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Echargui has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, N. Budkov Kjaer leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave N. Budkov Kjaer the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Budkov Kjaer won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

N. Budkov Kjaer's last five matches

M. Echargui's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

N. Budkov Kjaer leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, N. Budkov Kjaer beat F. Balshaw (6-4 6-4), then Y. Ghazouani Durand (6-1 7-6). To reach this round, M. Echargui beat L. Poullain (6-4 6-2), then B. Harris (7-5 1-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Harris, who beat D. Glinka in the final (3-6 7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Budkov Kjaer wins 60 % (29 of 48), M. Echargui 51 % (38 of 75). In deciding sets, N. Budkov Kjaer wins 67 % of the time (43 matches), M. Echargui 41 % (78 matches). After losing the first set, N. Budkov Kjaer turned 24 % of matches around (66 occasions), M. Echargui 14 % (100 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Budkov Kjaer went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Echargui 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Budkov Kjaer – M. Echargui

Who is the favourite between N. Budkov Kjaer and M. Echargui?
The match is over: N. Budkov Kjaer won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had N. Budkov Kjaer winning at 65 %.
When is the N. Budkov Kjaer – M. Echargui match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 13:05, at the Cassis tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between N. Budkov Kjaer and M. Echargui?
Since 2020, N. Budkov Kjaer leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Budkov Kjaer – M. Echargui?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Cassis

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026