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T. Droguet vs D. Glinka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. DroguetD. Glinka
72.0 %28.0 %
Model favourite
T. Droguet
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCassisQuarter-finalhard court16:00
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
vs
D. Glinka
D. Glinka
2150
Elo
1932
2025
Elo on hard court
1917
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.29
Odds
3.27

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Droguet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
D. Glinka
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
38-19 (67%)
2026 record
27-25 (52%)
75-54 (58%)
Record on hard court
65-52 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Droguet and D. Glinka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Droguet comes in with an Elo of 2150, against 1932 for D. Glinka: a 217-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 108 points in favour of T. Droguet. T. Droguet won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Glinka won 6. T. Droguet has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Glinka has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite.

The model gave T. Droguet the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

D. Glinka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Droguet beat M. Chazal (6-4 6-4), then G. Brouwer (6-2 7-6). To reach this round, D. Glinka beat R. Peniston (7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Harris, who beat D. Glinka in the final (3-6 7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Droguet wins 56 % (61 of 108), D. Glinka 53 % (29 of 55). In deciding sets, T. Droguet wins 59 % of the time (99 matches), D. Glinka 38 % (55 matches). After losing the first set, T. Droguet turned 27 % of matches around (111 occasions), D. Glinka 18 % (61 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Droguet went on to win 87 % of matches, D. Glinka 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Droguet – D. Glinka

Who is the favourite between T. Droguet and D. Glinka?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.27 for D. Glinka. Pronocast's model had T. Droguet winning at 72 %.
When is the T. Droguet – D. Glinka match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 16:00, at the Cassis tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Droguet and D. Glinka?
No meeting between T. Droguet and D. Glinka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Droguet – D. Glinka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Cassis

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026