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T. Monteiro vs E. Moller prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. MonteiroE. Moller
57.1 %42.9 %
Model favourite
T. Monteiro
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · E. Moller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 32clay16:50
T. Monteiro
T. Monteiro
vs
E. Moller
E. Moller
2016
Elo
1896
2034
Elo on clay
1964
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.59
Odds
2.22

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Monteiro
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
E. Moller
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
3 – 7
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
33-18 (65%)
2026 record
18-22 (45%)
152-98 (61%)
Record on clay
82-47 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Monteiro and E. Moller, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Monteiro comes in with an Elo of 2016, against 1896 for E. Moller: a 120-point edge. On clay, the gap is 71 points in favour of T. Monteiro. T. Monteiro won 6 of the last ten matches, E. Moller won 3. T. Monteiro has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Moller has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Moller leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Monteiro the favourite.

The model gave T. Monteiro the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Moller won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Monteiro's last five matches

E. Moller's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Moller leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is T. Monteiro's first match of the tournament. This is E. Moller's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Monteiro wins 52 % (92 of 177), E. Moller 60 % (34 of 57). In deciding sets, T. Monteiro wins 55 % of the time (146 matches), E. Moller 53 % (53 matches). After losing the first set, T. Monteiro turned 30 % of matches around (158 occasions), E. Moller 22 % (73 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Monteiro went on to win 79 % of matches, E. Moller 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Monteiro – E. Moller

Who is the favourite between T. Monteiro and E. Moller?
The match is over: E. Moller won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Monteiro the favourite, priced at 1.59 against 2.22 for E. Moller. Pronocast's model had T. Monteiro winning at 57 %.
When is the T. Monteiro – E. Moller match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 16:50, at the Braga tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between T. Monteiro and E. Moller?
Since 2020, E. Moller leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Monteiro – E. Moller?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026