Y. Ma vs P. Kudermetova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

Y. MaP. Kudermetova

25.9 %74.1 %

Model favourite: P. Kudermetova
Probability: 74 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · P. Kudermetova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijinghard court06:50Time to be confirmed

Y. Ma

P. Kudermetova

1862
Elo: 2064; 1843
Elo on hard court: 1941; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 6
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Ma

P. Kudermetova

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 12 – 11
Sets won – lost: 11 – 13; 1 loss
Current streak: 3 losses; 8-10 (44%)
2026 record: 35-19 (65%); 25-23 (52%)
Record on hard court: 48-42 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Ma and P. Kudermetova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Kudermetova comes in with an Elo of 2064, against 1862 for Y. Ma: a 201-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 98 points in favour of P. Kudermetova. Y. Ma won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Kudermetova won 5. Y. Ma has 3 wins in the last five matches. P. Kudermetova has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave P. Kudermetova the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Kudermetova won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Y. Ma's last five matches

DH. DartBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 29 September 20263-6 2-6
VY. RenBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20264-6 6-1 6-3
DK. BirrellSeoul 2026 · Round of 16 · 24 September 20265-7 3-6
VE. JonesSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20263-6 6-0 6-2
VE. LeeSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-3 6-1

P. Kudermetova's last five matches

DK. RakhimovaSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-7 6-4 5-7
DL. FruhvirtovaUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 24 August 20261-6 3-6
DXiy. WangCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 13 August 20263-6 2-6
VC. Y. LeeCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 13 August 20266-4 6-7 6-4
VA. AlexanderToronto 2026 · Qualifying · 1 August 20266-4 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is P. Kudermetova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Ma wins 54 % (7 of 13), P. Kudermetova 50 % (18 of 36). In deciding sets, Y. Ma wins 53 % of the time (19 matches), P. Kudermetova 47 % (51 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Ma turned 21 % of matches around (33 occasions), P. Kudermetova 22 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Ma went on to win 76 % of matches, P. Kudermetova 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Ma – P. Kudermetova

Who is the favourite between Y. Ma and P. Kudermetova?: The match is over: P. Kudermetova won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had P. Kudermetova winning at 74 %.
When is the Y. Ma – P. Kudermetova match?: On Wednesday, 30 September 2026, at the Beijing tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between Y. Ma and P. Kudermetova?: No meeting between Y. Ma and P. Kudermetova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Ma – P. Kudermetova?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions