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Z. Bergs vs C. Alcaraz prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has C. Alcaraz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
C. Alcaraz
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaihard court04:00Time to be confirmed
Z. Bergs
Z. Bergs
vs
C. Alcaraz
C. Alcaraz

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Z. Bergs
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
C. Alcaraz
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
9 – 1
16 – 14
Sets won – lost
24 – 7
1 win
Current streak
5 wins
25-24 (51%)
2026 record
31-4 (89%)
101-83 (55%)
Record on hard court
158-38 (81%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Z. Bergs and C. Alcaraz, before this match.

Recent matches

Z. Bergs's last five matches

C. Alcaraz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Alcaraz leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Z. Bergs beat V. Kopriva (6-3 6-1). This is C. Alcaraz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Z. Bergs wins 56 % (84 of 149), C. Alcaraz 61 % (95 of 156). In deciding sets, Z. Bergs wins 55 % of the time (126 matches), C. Alcaraz 74 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, Z. Bergs turned 21 % of matches around (151 occasions), C. Alcaraz 49 % (84 occasions). After winning the first set, Z. Bergs went on to win 86 % of matches, C. Alcaraz 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Z. Bergs – C. Alcaraz

Who is the favourite between Z. Bergs and C. Alcaraz?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has C. Alcaraz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the Z. Bergs – C. Alcaraz match?
On Monday, 12 October 2026, at the Shanghai tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between Z. Bergs and C. Alcaraz?
Since 2020, C. Alcaraz leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for Z. Bergs – C. Alcaraz?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 October 2026

All matches on 12 October 2026