A. Bondar vs G. Ruse prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. BondarG. Ruse
37.7 %62.3 %
Model favourite
G. Ruse
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · A. Bondar

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulQuarter-finalhard court04:10
A. Bondar
A. Bondar
vs
G. Ruse
G. Ruse
2155
Elo
2243
1994
Elo on hard court
2139
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.26
Odds
1.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Bondar
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
G. Ruse
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
30-24 (56%)
2026 record
25-18 (58%)
58-73 (44%)
Record on hard court
74-49 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Bondar and G. Ruse, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Ruse comes in with an Elo of 2243, against 2155 for A. Bondar: a 88-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 145 points in favour of G. Ruse. A. Bondar won 6 of the last ten matches, G. Ruse won 5. A. Bondar has 3 wins in the last five matches. G. Ruse has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, G. Ruse leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make G. Ruse the favourite.

The model gave G. Ruse the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Bondar won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Bondar's last five matches

G. Ruse's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

G. Ruse leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Ruse beat E. Lys (6-1 6-2), then Y. Ku (2-6 7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Bondar wins 49 % (47 of 95), G. Ruse 44 % (24 of 54). In deciding sets, A. Bondar wins 46 % of the time (94 matches), G. Ruse 62 % (74 matches). After losing the first set, A. Bondar turned 14 % of matches around (124 occasions), G. Ruse 26 % (100 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Bondar went on to win 81 % of matches, G. Ruse 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Bondar – G. Ruse

Who is the favourite between A. Bondar and G. Ruse?
The match is over: A. Bondar won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Ruse the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.26 for A. Bondar. Pronocast's model had G. Ruse winning at 62 %.
When is the A. Bondar – G. Ruse match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 04:10, at the Seoul tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Bondar and G. Ruse?
Since 2020, G. Ruse leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Bondar – G. Ruse?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026