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M. Joint vs K. Birrell prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. JointK. Birrell
61.9 %38.1 %
Model favourite
M. Joint
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · K. Birrell

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulFinalhard court08:40
M. Joint
M. Joint
vs
K. Birrell
K. Birrell
2096
Elo
2117
2056
Elo on hard court
2070
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.48
Odds
2.29

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Joint
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
K. Birrell
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
3 wins
Current streak
4 wins
14-22 (39%)
2026 record
26-24 (52%)
58-43 (57%)
Record on hard court
83-67 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Joint and K. Birrell, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Birrell comes in with an Elo of 2117, against 2096 for M. Joint: a 20-point edge. M. Joint won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Birrell won 5. M. Joint has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Birrell has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Joint the favourite.

The model gave M. Joint the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Birrell won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Joint's last five matches

K. Birrell's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Joint beat X. Yao (2-6 7-6 6-3), then D. Back (6-2 6-1), then L. Tararudee (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, K. Birrell beat T. Zidansek (7-6 6-4), then Y. Ma (7-5 6-3), then K. Volynets (2-6 6-2 7-5), then A. Bondar (7-5 2-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Joint wins 63 % (20 of 32), K. Birrell 47 % (26 of 55). In deciding sets, M. Joint wins 57 % of the time (51 matches), K. Birrell 51 % (73 matches). After losing the first set, M. Joint turned 24 % of matches around (58 occasions), K. Birrell 17 % (103 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Joint went on to win 80 % of matches, K. Birrell 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Joint – K. Birrell

Who is the favourite between M. Joint and K. Birrell?
The match is over: K. Birrell won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Joint the favourite, priced at 1.48 against 2.29 for K. Birrell. Pronocast's model had M. Joint winning at 62 %.
When is the M. Joint – K. Birrell match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 08:40, at the Seoul tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Joint and K. Birrell?
No meeting between M. Joint and K. Birrell appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Joint – K. Birrell?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026