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A. Korneeva vs M. Joint prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. KorneevaM. Joint
70.3 %29.7 %
Model favourite
A. Korneeva
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-1 · M. Joint

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulSemi-finalhard court11:40
A. Korneeva
A. Korneeva
vs
M. Joint
M. Joint
2253
Elo
2073
2180
Elo on hard court
2028
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Korneeva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Joint
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
30-14 (68%)
2026 record
14-22 (39%)
44-23 (66%)
Record on hard court
58-43 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Korneeva and M. Joint, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Korneeva comes in with an Elo of 2253, against 2073 for M. Joint: a 180-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 153 points in favour of A. Korneeva. A. Korneeva won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Joint won 6. A. Korneeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Joint has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Korneeva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Korneeva the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Joint won 1-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Korneeva's last five matches

M. Joint's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Korneeva leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Korneeva beat M. Sawangkaew (6-4 6-2), then D. Astakhova (6-2 3-6 6-1), then T. Preston (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, M. Joint beat X. Yao (2-6 7-6 6-3), then D. Back (6-2 6-1), then L. Tararudee (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Korneeva wins 48 % (10 of 21), M. Joint 63 % (20 of 32). In deciding sets, A. Korneeva wins 67 % of the time (27 matches), M. Joint 57 % (51 matches). After losing the first set, A. Korneeva turned 29 % of matches around (41 occasions), M. Joint 24 % (58 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Korneeva went on to win 91 % of matches, M. Joint 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Korneeva – M. Joint

Who is the favourite between A. Korneeva and M. Joint?
The match is over: M. Joint won 1-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Korneeva winning at 70 %.
When is the A. Korneeva – M. Joint match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 11:40, at the Seoul tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Korneeva and M. Joint?
Since 2020, A. Korneeva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Korneeva – M. Joint?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026