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L. Tararudee vs M. Joint prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. TararudeeM. Joint
55.7 %44.3 %
Model favourite
L. Tararudee
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Joint

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulQuarter-finalhard court05:00
L. Tararudee
L. Tararudee
vs
M. Joint
M. Joint
2161
Elo
2073
2147
Elo on hard court
2028
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.72
Odds
2.09

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Tararudee
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Joint
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
34-15 (69%)
2026 record
13-22 (37%)
42-25 (63%)
Record on hard court
57-43 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Tararudee and M. Joint, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Tararudee comes in with an Elo of 2161, against 2073 for M. Joint: a 87-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 119 points in favour of L. Tararudee. L. Tararudee won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Joint won 6. L. Tararudee has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Joint has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to L. Tararudee. Bookmakers make L. Tararudee the favourite.

The model gave L. Tararudee the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Joint won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Tararudee's last five matches

M. Joint's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Tararudee beat M. Uchijima (6-4 6-7 6-2), then S. Park (7-6 6-0). To reach this round, M. Joint beat X. Yao (2-6 7-6 6-3), then D. Back (6-2 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Tararudee wins 44 % (11 of 25), M. Joint 63 % (20 of 32). In deciding sets, L. Tararudee wins 46 % of the time (35 matches), M. Joint 57 % (51 matches). After losing the first set, L. Tararudee turned 13 % of matches around (38 occasions), M. Joint 24 % (58 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Tararudee went on to win 86 % of matches, M. Joint 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Tararudee – M. Joint

Who is the favourite between L. Tararudee and M. Joint?
The match is over: M. Joint won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Tararudee the favourite, priced at 1.72 against 2.09 for M. Joint. Pronocast's model had L. Tararudee winning at 56 %.
When is the L. Tararudee – M. Joint match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 05:00, at the Seoul tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Tararudee and M. Joint?
No meeting between L. Tararudee and M. Joint appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Tararudee – M. Joint?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026