A. Charaeva vs Q. Zheng prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. CharaevaQ. Zheng
23.3 %76.7 %
Model favourite
Q. Zheng
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · Q. Zheng

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 16hard court13:10
A. Charaeva
A. Charaeva
vs
Q. Zheng
Q. Zheng
2165
Elo
2311
2008
Elo on hard court
2289
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.83
Odds
1.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Charaeva
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Q. Zheng
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
17 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
36-23 (61%)
2026 record
20-15 (57%)
22-20 (52%)
Record on hard court
109-49 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Charaeva and Q. Zheng, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Q. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2311, against 2165 for A. Charaeva: a 146-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 281 points in favour of Q. Zheng. A. Charaeva won 6 of the last ten matches, Q. Zheng won 8. A. Charaeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. Q. Zheng has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make Q. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave Q. Zheng the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Q. Zheng won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Charaeva's last five matches

Q. Zheng's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Charaeva beat Y. Starodubtseva (5-7 7-5 6-2), then E. Rybakina (3-6 6-4 6-3), then S. Kartal (6-4 6-1). To reach this round, Q. Zheng beat H. Shi (7-6 4-6 6-2), then M. Bouzkova (7-6 4-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Charaeva wins 48 % (14 of 29), Q. Zheng 55 % (36 of 65). In deciding sets, A. Charaeva wins 59 % of the time (34 matches), Q. Zheng 69 % (96 matches). After losing the first set, A. Charaeva turned 29 % of matches around (51 occasions), Q. Zheng 32 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Charaeva went on to win 88 % of matches, Q. Zheng 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Charaeva – Q. Zheng

Who is the favourite between A. Charaeva and Q. Zheng?
The match is over: Q. Zheng won 2-1. Bookmakers make Q. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.25 against 3.83 for A. Charaeva. Pronocast's model had Q. Zheng winning at 77 %.
When is the A. Charaeva – Q. Zheng match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Charaeva and Q. Zheng?
No meeting between A. Charaeva and Q. Zheng appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Charaeva – Q. Zheng?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026