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A. Fery vs M. Cilic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. FeryM. Cilic
60.5 %39.5 %
Model favourite
A. Fery
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Fery

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court14:15
A. Fery
A. Fery
vs
M. Cilic
M. Cilic
2170
Elo
2123
2001
Elo on hard court
2073
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.57
Odds
2.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Fery
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Cilic
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
9 – 18
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
30-16 (65%)
2026 record
14-15 (48%)
63-31 (67%)
Record on hard court
61-48 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Fery and M. Cilic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Fery comes in with an Elo of 2170, against 2123 for M. Cilic: a 47-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 72 points in favour of M. Cilic. A. Fery won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Cilic won 3. A. Fery has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Cilic has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Fery the favourite.

The model gave A. Fery the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Fery won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Fery's last five matches

M. Cilic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Fery's first match of the tournament. This is M. Cilic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Fery wins 44 % (23 of 52), M. Cilic 48 % (43 of 90). In deciding sets, A. Fery wins 61 % of the time (57 matches), M. Cilic 52 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, A. Fery turned 27 % of matches around (66 occasions), M. Cilic 24 % (79 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Fery went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Cilic 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Fery – M. Cilic

Who is the favourite between A. Fery and M. Cilic?
The match is over: A. Fery won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Fery the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.36 for M. Cilic. Pronocast's model had A. Fery winning at 61 %.
When is the A. Fery – M. Cilic match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 14:15, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Fery and M. Cilic?
No meeting between A. Fery and M. Cilic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Fery – M. Cilic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026