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A. Gea vs J. Faria prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. GeaJ. Faria
62.1 %37.9 %
Model favourite
A. Gea
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Gea

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court06:10
A. Gea
A. Gea
vs
J. Faria
J. Faria
2195
Elo
2162
2180
Elo on hard court
2014
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.53
Odds
2.46

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Gea
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
J. Faria
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
20 – 13
Sets won – lost
14 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
42-17 (71%)
2026 record
50-26 (66%)
35-27 (56%)
Record on hard court
31-24 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Gea and J. Faria, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Gea comes in with an Elo of 2195, against 2162 for J. Faria: a 33-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 166 points in favour of A. Gea. A. Gea won 7 of the last ten matches, J. Faria won 5. A. Gea has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Faria has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Gea the favourite.

The model gave A. Gea the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Gea won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Gea's last five matches

J. Faria's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Gea's first match of the tournament. This is J. Faria's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Gea wins 55 % (33 of 60), J. Faria 52 % (43 of 83). In deciding sets, A. Gea wins 47 % of the time (62 matches), J. Faria 56 % (77 matches). After losing the first set, A. Gea turned 19 % of matches around (73 occasions), J. Faria 28 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Gea went on to win 82 % of matches, J. Faria 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Gea – J. Faria

Who is the favourite between A. Gea and J. Faria?
The match is over: A. Gea won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Gea the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.46 for J. Faria. Pronocast's model had A. Gea winning at 62 %.
When is the A. Gea – J. Faria match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Gea and J. Faria?
No meeting between A. Gea and J. Faria appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Gea – J. Faria?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026