A. Gray vs P. Maloney prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. GrayP. Maloney
67.3 %32.7 %
Model favourite
A. Gray
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · P. Maloney

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonRound of 32hard court23:15
A. Gray
A. Gray
vs
P. Maloney
P. Maloney
1854
Elo
1794
1832
Elo on hard court
1740
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.40
Odds
2.75

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Gray
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
P. Maloney
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 12
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
19-19 (50%)
2026 record
3-3 (50%)
28-30 (48%)
Record on hard court
24-24 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Gray and P. Maloney, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Gray comes in with an Elo of 1854, against 1794 for P. Maloney: a 60-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 93 points in favour of A. Gray. A. Gray won 4 of the last ten matches, P. Maloney won 5. A. Gray has one win in the last five matches. P. Maloney has 2 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to A. Gray. Bookmakers make A. Gray the favourite.

The model gave A. Gray the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Maloney won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Gray's last five matches

P. Maloney's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Gray's first match of the tournament. This is P. Maloney's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Gray wins 42 % (21 of 50), P. Maloney 55 % (11 of 20). In deciding sets, A. Gray wins 42 % of the time (38 matches), P. Maloney 50 % (16 matches). After losing the first set, A. Gray turned 16 % of matches around (43 occasions), P. Maloney 8 % (25 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Gray went on to win 74 % of matches, P. Maloney 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Gray – P. Maloney

Who is the favourite between A. Gray and P. Maloney?
The match is over: P. Maloney won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Gray the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 2.75 for P. Maloney. Pronocast's model had A. Gray winning at 67 %.
When is the A. Gray – P. Maloney match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 23:15, at the Tiburon tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Gray and P. Maloney?
No meeting between A. Gray and P. Maloney appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Gray – P. Maloney?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026