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A. Ibragimova vs K. Okamura prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. IbragimovaK. Okamura
75.2 %24.8 %
Model favourite
A. Ibragimova
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · K. Okamura

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerJingshanRound of 16hard court05:05
A. Ibragimova
A. Ibragimova
vs
K. Okamura
K. Okamura
2006
Elo
1784
1854
Elo on hard court
1756
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.30
Odds
3.69

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Ibragimova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
K. Okamura
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
8 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
17-10 (63%)
2026 record
4-6 (40%)
8-6 (57%)
Record on hard court
22-23 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Ibragimova and K. Okamura, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Ibragimova comes in with an Elo of 2006, against 1784 for K. Okamura: a 222-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 98 points in favour of A. Ibragimova. A. Ibragimova won 7 of the last ten matches, K. Okamura won 3. A. Ibragimova has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Okamura has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Ibragimova the favourite.

The model gave A. Ibragimova the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Okamura won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Ibragimova's last five matches

K. Okamura's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Ibragimova beat D. Khomutsianskaya (3-6 6-4 7-5). To reach this round, K. Okamura beat R. X. Wu (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Sun, who beat Y. Ma in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, A. Ibragimova wins 67 % of the time (15 matches), K. Okamura 47 % (17 matches). After losing the first set, A. Ibragimova turned 25 % of matches around (24 occasions), K. Okamura 9 % (32 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Ibragimova went on to win 91 % of matches, K. Okamura 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Ibragimova – K. Okamura

Who is the favourite between A. Ibragimova and K. Okamura?
The match is over: K. Okamura won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Ibragimova the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.69 for K. Okamura. Pronocast's model had A. Ibragimova winning at 75 %.
When is the A. Ibragimova – K. Okamura match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 05:05, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Ibragimova and K. Okamura?
No meeting between A. Ibragimova and K. Okamura appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Ibragimova – K. Okamura?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026