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L. Darderi vs C. Ruud prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. DarderiC. Ruud
34.0 %66.0 %
Model favourite
C. Ruud
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · L. Darderi

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court04:10
L. Darderi
L. Darderi
vs
C. Ruud
C. Ruud
2210
Elo
2355
1988
Elo on hard court
2162
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.53
Odds
1.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Darderi
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
C. Ruud
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 14
Sets won – lost
15 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
3 wins
33-21 (61%)
2026 record
28-14 (67%)
31-41 (43%)
Record on hard court
108-68 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Darderi and C. Ruud, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

C. Ruud comes in with an Elo of 2355, against 2210 for L. Darderi: a 145-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 173 points in favour of C. Ruud. L. Darderi won 6 of the last ten matches, C. Ruud won 6. L. Darderi has 3 wins in the last five matches. C. Ruud has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, C. Ruud leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make C. Ruud the favourite.

The model gave C. Ruud the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Darderi won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Darderi's last five matches

C. Ruud's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Ruud leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is L. Darderi's first match of the tournament. This is C. Ruud's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Darderi wins 53 % (63 of 119), C. Ruud 61 % (87 of 143). In deciding sets, L. Darderi wins 62 % of the time (107 matches), C. Ruud 65 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, L. Darderi turned 23 % of matches around (150 occasions), C. Ruud 26 % (121 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Darderi went on to win 88 % of matches, C. Ruud 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Darderi – C. Ruud

Who is the favourite between L. Darderi and C. Ruud?
The match is over: L. Darderi won 2-0. Bookmakers make C. Ruud the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.53 for L. Darderi. Pronocast's model had C. Ruud winning at 66 %.
When is the L. Darderi – C. Ruud match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 04:10, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Darderi and C. Ruud?
Since 2020, C. Ruud leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Darderi – C. Ruud?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026