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B. Nakashima vs U. Humbert prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
B. NakashimaU. Humbert
69.1 %30.9 %
Model favourite
B. Nakashima
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · U. Humbert

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court04:10
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
vs
U. Humbert
U. Humbert
2328
Elo
2185
2229
Elo on hard court
2089
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.30
Odds
2.81

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Nakashima
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
U. Humbert
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
1 win
Current streak
3 losses
33-18 (65%)
2026 record
25-21 (54%)
158-98 (62%)
Record on hard court
118-76 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Nakashima and U. Humbert, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Nakashima comes in with an Elo of 2328, against 2185 for U. Humbert: a 143-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 141 points in favour of B. Nakashima. B. Nakashima won 7 of the last ten matches, U. Humbert won 5. B. Nakashima has 3 wins in the last five matches. U. Humbert has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, U. Humbert leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make B. Nakashima the favourite.

The model gave B. Nakashima the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. U. Humbert won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

U. Humbert's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

U. Humbert leads 3 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is B. Nakashima's first match of the tournament. This is U. Humbert's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Nakashima wins 53 % (116 of 220), U. Humbert 50 % (79 of 158). In deciding sets, B. Nakashima wins 51 % of the time (123 matches), U. Humbert 46 % (114 matches). After losing the first set, B. Nakashima turned 22 % of matches around (146 occasions), U. Humbert 21 % (120 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Nakashima went on to win 84 % of matches, U. Humbert 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Nakashima – U. Humbert

Who is the favourite between B. Nakashima and U. Humbert?
The match is over: U. Humbert won 2-0. Bookmakers make B. Nakashima the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 2.81 for U. Humbert. Pronocast's model had B. Nakashima winning at 69 %.
When is the B. Nakashima – U. Humbert match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 04:10, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Nakashima and U. Humbert?
Since 2020, U. Humbert leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Nakashima – U. Humbert?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026