J. Faria vs A. Fery prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. FariaA. Fery
51.7 %48.3 %
Model favourite
J. Faria
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · J. Faria

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court04:05
J. Faria
J. Faria
vs
A. Fery
A. Fery
2171
Elo
2185
2016
Elo on hard court
2018
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Faria
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. Fery
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
49-25 (66%)
2026 record
30-15 (67%)
30-23 (57%)
Record on hard court
63-30 (68%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Faria and A. Fery, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2171 against 2185): nothing separates them in the model's rating. J. Faria won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Fery won 6. J. Faria has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Fery has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. Faria the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Faria won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Faria's last five matches

A. Fery's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Fery's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Faria wins 52 % (43 of 83), A. Fery 44 % (23 of 52). In deciding sets, J. Faria wins 55 % of the time (76 matches), A. Fery 63 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, J. Faria turned 28 % of matches around (89 occasions), A. Fery 28 % (65 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Faria went on to win 79 % of matches, A. Fery 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Faria – A. Fery

Who is the favourite between J. Faria and A. Fery?
The match is over: J. Faria won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. Faria winning at 52 %.
When is the J. Faria – A. Fery match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 04:05, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Faria and A. Fery?
No meeting between J. Faria and A. Fery appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Faria – A. Fery?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026