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A. Kovacevic vs M. Berrettini prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. KovacevicM. Berrettini
35.4 %64.6 %
Model favourite
M. Berrettini
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Berrettini

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court06:10
A. Kovacevic
A. Kovacevic
vs
M. Berrettini
M. Berrettini
2035
Elo
2206
1973
Elo on hard court
2072
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.65
Odds
1.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Kovacevic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Berrettini
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
18 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
22-31 (42%)
2026 record
19-16 (54%)
147-114 (56%)
Record on hard court
63-46 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Kovacevic and M. Berrettini, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Berrettini comes in with an Elo of 2206, against 2035 for A. Kovacevic: a 172-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 99 points in favour of M. Berrettini. A. Kovacevic won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Berrettini won 5. A. Kovacevic has one win in the last five matches. M. Berrettini has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Berrettini the favourite.

The model gave M. Berrettini the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Berrettini won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Kovacevic's last five matches

M. Berrettini's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Kovacevic's first match of the tournament. This is M. Berrettini's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Kovacevic wins 49 % (103 of 209), M. Berrettini 59 % (82 of 140). In deciding sets, A. Kovacevic wins 51 % of the time (138 matches), M. Berrettini 60 % (72 matches). After losing the first set, A. Kovacevic turned 20 % of matches around (166 occasions), M. Berrettini 38 % (82 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Kovacevic went on to win 81 % of matches, M. Berrettini 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Kovacevic – M. Berrettini

Who is the favourite between A. Kovacevic and M. Berrettini?
The match is over: M. Berrettini won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Berrettini the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.65 for A. Kovacevic. Pronocast's model had M. Berrettini winning at 65 %.
When is the A. Kovacevic – M. Berrettini match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Kovacevic and M. Berrettini?
No meeting between A. Kovacevic and M. Berrettini appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Kovacevic – M. Berrettini?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026