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A. Li vs E. Svitolina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. LiE. Svitolina
25.1 %74.9 %
Model favourite
E. Svitolina
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · E. Svitolina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 16hard court15:45
A. Li
A. Li
vs
E. Svitolina
E. Svitolina
2207
Elo
2439
2108
Elo on hard court
2355
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.55
Odds
1.29

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Li
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
E. Svitolina
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 7
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
24-23 (51%)
2026 record
44-15 (75%)
84-68 (55%)
Record on hard court
83-45 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Li and E. Svitolina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Svitolina comes in with an Elo of 2439, against 2207 for A. Li: a 232-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 247 points in favour of E. Svitolina. A. Li won 7 of the last ten matches, E. Svitolina won 6. A. Li has 4 wins in the last five matches. E. Svitolina has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite.

The model gave E. Svitolina the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Svitolina won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Li's last five matches

E. Svitolina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Li beat A. Krueger (6-4 6-2), then B. Bencic (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, E. Svitolina beat K. Siniakova (1-6 6-4 6-2), then M. Sakkari (6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Li wins 48 % (29 of 61), E. Svitolina 54 % (37 of 69). In deciding sets, A. Li wins 55 % of the time (82 matches), E. Svitolina 60 % (85 matches). After losing the first set, A. Li turned 24 % of matches around (114 occasions), E. Svitolina 36 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Li went on to win 87 % of matches, E. Svitolina 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Li – E. Svitolina

Who is the favourite between A. Li and E. Svitolina?
The match is over: E. Svitolina won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.55 for A. Li. Pronocast's model had E. Svitolina winning at 75 %.
When is the A. Li – E. Svitolina match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 15:45, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Li and E. Svitolina?
No meeting between A. Li and E. Svitolina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Li – E. Svitolina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026