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A. Mannarino vs N. Basilashvili prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MannarinoN. Basilashvili
50.8 %49.2 %
Model favourite
A. Mannarino
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-0 · A. Mannarino

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court07:40
A. Mannarino
A. Mannarino
vs
N. Basilashvili
N. Basilashvili
2040
Elo
2068
1965
Elo on hard court
2013
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.92
Odds
1.86

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Mannarino
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
N. Basilashvili
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
12 – 14
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
19-31 (38%)
2026 record
26-26 (50%)
100-113 (47%)
Record on hard court
66-74 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Mannarino and N. Basilashvili, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Basilashvili comes in with an Elo of 2068, against 2040 for A. Mannarino: a 28-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 47 points in favour of N. Basilashvili. A. Mannarino won 5 of the last ten matches, N. Basilashvili won 7. A. Mannarino has 3 wins in the last five matches. N. Basilashvili has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Mannarino leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make N. Basilashvili the favourite.

The model gave A. Mannarino the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mannarino won 1-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Mannarino's last five matches

N. Basilashvili's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Mannarino leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is A. Mannarino's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, N. Basilashvili beat A. Ilagan (6-3 6-7 7-5), then L. Draxl (5-7 7-5 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Mannarino wins 46 % (62 of 136), N. Basilashvili 55 % (58 of 106). In deciding sets, A. Mannarino wins 50 % of the time (105 matches), N. Basilashvili 55 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, A. Mannarino turned 20 % of matches around (182 occasions), N. Basilashvili 16 % (131 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Mannarino went on to win 83 % of matches, N. Basilashvili 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Mannarino – N. Basilashvili

Who is the favourite between A. Mannarino and N. Basilashvili?
The match is over: A. Mannarino won 1-0. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: A. Mannarino is priced at 1.92, N. Basilashvili at 1.86. Pronocast's model had A. Mannarino winning at 51 %.
When is the A. Mannarino – N. Basilashvili match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 07:40, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Mannarino and N. Basilashvili?
Since 2020, A. Mannarino leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Mannarino – N. Basilashvili?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026