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L. Poullain vs J. J. Schwaerzler prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. PoullainJ. J. Schwaerzler
40.4 %59.6 %
Model favourite
J. J. Schwaerzler
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · J. J. Schwaerzler

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQuarter-finalhard court13:45
L. Poullain
L. Poullain
vs
J. J. Schwaerzler
J. J. Schwaerzler
1869
Elo
1925
1865
Elo on hard court
1846
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.21
Odds
1.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Poullain
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
J. J. Schwaerzler
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
22-11 (67%)
2026 record
31-25 (55%)
62-54 (53%)
Record on hard court
14-14 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Poullain and J. J. Schwaerzler, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. J. Schwaerzler comes in with an Elo of 1925, against 1869 for L. Poullain: a 56-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 19 points in favour of L. Poullain. L. Poullain won 6 of the last ten matches, J. J. Schwaerzler won 5. L. Poullain has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. J. Schwaerzler has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. J. Schwaerzler the favourite.

The model gave J. J. Schwaerzler the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. J. Schwaerzler won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Poullain's last five matches

J. J. Schwaerzler's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Poullain beat M. Lajal (7-6 5-7 6-3), then R. Bertola (3-6 7-5 6-3). To reach this round, J. J. Schwaerzler beat A. Barroso Campos (6-3 7-5), then H. Wendelken (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Poullain wins 62 % (21 of 34), J. J. Schwaerzler 60 % (31 of 52). In deciding sets, L. Poullain wins 48 % of the time (33 matches), J. J. Schwaerzler 59 % (46 matches). After losing the first set, L. Poullain turned 20 % of matches around (59 occasions), J. J. Schwaerzler 19 % (69 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Poullain went on to win 86 % of matches, J. J. Schwaerzler 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Poullain – J. J. Schwaerzler

Who is the favourite between L. Poullain and J. J. Schwaerzler?
The match is over: J. J. Schwaerzler won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. J. Schwaerzler the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.21 for L. Poullain. Pronocast's model had J. J. Schwaerzler winning at 60 %.
When is the L. Poullain – J. J. Schwaerzler match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 13:45, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Poullain and J. J. Schwaerzler?
No meeting between L. Poullain and J. J. Schwaerzler appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Poullain – J. J. Schwaerzler?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026