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C. M. Zarate vs J. Aguilar Cardozo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
C. M. ZarateJ. Aguilar Cardozo
25.2 %74.8 %
Model favourite
J. Aguilar Cardozo
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · J. Aguilar Cardozo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Round of 32clay15:10
CM
C. M. Zarate
vs
J. Aguilar Cardozo
J. Aguilar Cardozo
1838
Elo
2021
1814
Elo on clay
2038
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
10 / 10
0
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. M. Zarate
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
J. Aguilar Cardozo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
10 – 12
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
2 losses
Current streak
3 wins
6-9 (40%)
2026 record
13-7 (65%)
16-17 (48%)
Record on clay
19-17 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. M. Zarate and J. Aguilar Cardozo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Aguilar Cardozo comes in with an Elo of 2021, against 1838 for C. M. Zarate: a 183-point edge. On clay, the gap is 224 points in favour of J. Aguilar Cardozo. C. M. Zarate won 9 of the last ten matches, J. Aguilar Cardozo won 10. C. M. Zarate has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Aguilar Cardozo has 4 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to J. Aguilar Cardozo. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. Aguilar Cardozo the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Aguilar Cardozo won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

C. M. Zarate's last five matches

J. Aguilar Cardozo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is C. M. Zarate's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, J. Aguilar Cardozo beat F. Aguilar Cardozo (6-4 7-5), then M. Del Pino (6-1 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, C. M. Zarate wins 55 % of the time (11 matches), J. Aguilar Cardozo 45 % (11 matches). After losing the first set, C. M. Zarate turned 21 % of matches around (19 occasions), J. Aguilar Cardozo 5 % (19 occasions). After winning the first set, C. M. Zarate went on to win 81 % of matches, J. Aguilar Cardozo 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about C. M. Zarate – J. Aguilar Cardozo

Who is the favourite between C. M. Zarate and J. Aguilar Cardozo?
The match is over: J. Aguilar Cardozo won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. Aguilar Cardozo winning at 75 %.
When is the C. M. Zarate – J. Aguilar Cardozo match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between C. M. Zarate and J. Aguilar Cardozo?
No meeting between C. M. Zarate and J. Aguilar Cardozo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for C. M. Zarate – J. Aguilar Cardozo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026