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I. Simakin vs M. Purcell prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
I. SimakinM. Purcell
44.5 %55.5 %
Model favourite
M. Purcell
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · I. Simakin

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPhan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationSemi-finalhard court05:10
I. Simakin
I. Simakin
vs
M. Purcell
M. Purcell
1986
Elo
2038
2013
Elo on hard court
1966
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
8
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.16
Odds
1.64

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

I. Simakin
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Purcell
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
7 – 3
19 – 4
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
8 wins
Current streak
3 wins
31-15 (67%)
2026 record
6-2 (75%)
69-30 (70%)
Record on hard court
100-65 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by I. Simakin and M. Purcell, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Purcell comes in with an Elo of 2038, against 1986 for I. Simakin: a 52-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 47 points in favour of I. Simakin. I. Simakin won 9 of the last ten matches, M. Purcell won 8. I. Simakin has 5 wins in the last five matches. M. Purcell has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Purcell the favourite.

The model gave M. Purcell the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Simakin won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

I. Simakin's last five matches

M. Purcell's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, I. Simakin beat H. S. Callejon (7-6 2-6 6-2), then E. Aguiard (6-2 6-0), then P. Sekulic (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, M. Purcell beat R. Pacheco Mendez (6-3 6-4), then B. Ellis (6-4 6-4), then C. Hewitt (7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, I. Simakin wins 57 % (25 of 44), M. Purcell 54 % (51 of 94). In deciding sets, I. Simakin wins 62 % of the time (45 matches), M. Purcell 61 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, I. Simakin turned 37 % of matches around (46 occasions), M. Purcell 26 % (101 occasions). After winning the first set, I. Simakin went on to win 86 % of matches, M. Purcell 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about I. Simakin – M. Purcell

Who is the favourite between I. Simakin and M. Purcell?
The match is over: I. Simakin won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Purcell the favourite, priced at 1.64 against 2.16 for I. Simakin. Pronocast's model had M. Purcell winning at 56 %.
When is the I. Simakin – M. Purcell match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 05:10, at the Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between I. Simakin and M. Purcell?
No meeting between I. Simakin and M. Purcell appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for I. Simakin – M. Purcell?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026