A. Weber vs Y. Shimizu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. WeberY. Shimizu
38.5 %61.5 %
Model favourite
Y. Shimizu
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · A. Weber

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPhan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationSemi-finalhard court05:10
A. Weber
A. Weber
vs
Y. Shimizu
Y. Shimizu
1774
Elo
1856
1766
Elo on hard court
1824
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
8
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.28
Odds
1.57

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Weber
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
Y. Shimizu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
8 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
8-9 (47%)
2026 record
21-16 (57%)
28-33 (46%)
Record on hard court
116-98 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Weber and Y. Shimizu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Y. Shimizu comes in with an Elo of 1856, against 1774 for A. Weber: a 82-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 58 points in favour of Y. Shimizu. A. Weber won 9 of the last ten matches, Y. Shimizu won 5. A. Weber has 3 wins in the last five matches. Y. Shimizu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, Y. Shimizu leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make Y. Shimizu the favourite.

The model gave Y. Shimizu the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Weber won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Weber's last five matches

Y. Shimizu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Y. Shimizu leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Weber beat T. Q. Cuong (6-0 6-0), then T. Sach (6-0 6-0), then F. Peliwo (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, Y. Shimizu beat A. Vishal Balsekar (6-1 6-1), then K. Samrej (6-4 6-4), then H. Moriya (5-7 7-5 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Weber wins 50 % (11 of 22), Y. Shimizu 54 % (47 of 87). In deciding sets, A. Weber wins 56 % of the time (16 matches), Y. Shimizu 52 % (67 matches). After losing the first set, A. Weber turned 13 % of matches around (40 occasions), Y. Shimizu 17 % (94 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Weber went on to win 89 % of matches, Y. Shimizu 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Weber – Y. Shimizu

Who is the favourite between A. Weber and Y. Shimizu?
The match is over: A. Weber won 2-0. Bookmakers make Y. Shimizu the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.28 for A. Weber. Pronocast's model had Y. Shimizu winning at 61 %.
When is the A. Weber – Y. Shimizu match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 05:10, at the Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Weber and Y. Shimizu?
Since 2020, Y. Shimizu leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Weber – Y. Shimizu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026