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D. Yastremska vs M. Chwalinska prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. YastremskaM. Chwalinska
36.4 %63.6 %
Model favourite
M. Chwalinska
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · D. Yastremska

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court06:10
D. Yastremska
D. Yastremska
vs
M. Chwalinska
M. Chwalinska
2113
Elo
2225
1979
Elo on hard court
2013
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.68
Odds
1.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Yastremska
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Chwalinska
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
17-20 (46%)
2026 record
31-14 (69%)
75-73 (51%)
Record on hard court
24-17 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Yastremska and M. Chwalinska, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Chwalinska comes in with an Elo of 2225, against 2113 for D. Yastremska: a 112-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 35 points in favour of M. Chwalinska. D. Yastremska won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Chwalinska won 4. D. Yastremska has one win in the last five matches. M. Chwalinska has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Chwalinska the favourite.

The model gave M. Chwalinska the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Yastremska won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Yastremska's last five matches

M. Chwalinska's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Yastremska beat C. McNally (6-3 6-4). This is M. Chwalinska's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Yastremska wins 60 % (49 of 81), M. Chwalinska 53 % (16 of 30). In deciding sets, D. Yastremska wins 48 % of the time (94 matches), M. Chwalinska 52 % (46 matches). After losing the first set, D. Yastremska turned 19 % of matches around (113 occasions), M. Chwalinska 24 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Yastremska went on to win 81 % of matches, M. Chwalinska 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Yastremska – M. Chwalinska

Who is the favourite between D. Yastremska and M. Chwalinska?
The match is over: D. Yastremska won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Chwalinska the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.68 for D. Yastremska. Pronocast's model had M. Chwalinska winning at 64 %.
When is the D. Yastremska – M. Chwalinska match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Yastremska and M. Chwalinska?
No meeting between D. Yastremska and M. Chwalinska appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Yastremska – M. Chwalinska?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026