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E. Alexandrova vs A. Sasnovich prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. AlexandrovaA. Sasnovich
57.4 %42.6 %
Model favourite
E. Alexandrova
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · E. Alexandrova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court08:05
E. Alexandrova
E. Alexandrova
vs
A. Sasnovich
A. Sasnovich
2216
Elo
2107
2120
Elo on hard court
2082
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.65
Odds
2.19

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Alexandrova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
A. Sasnovich
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 12
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
3 wins
16-21 (43%)
2026 record
29-22 (57%)
103-79 (57%)
Record on hard court
91-78 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Alexandrova and A. Sasnovich, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Alexandrova comes in with an Elo of 2216, against 2107 for A. Sasnovich: a 109-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 38 points in favour of E. Alexandrova. E. Alexandrova won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Sasnovich won 5. E. Alexandrova has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Sasnovich has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Alexandrova the favourite.

The model gave E. Alexandrova the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Alexandrova won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Alexandrova's last five matches

A. Sasnovich's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is E. Alexandrova's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, A. Sasnovich beat J. Zhang (6-2 6-0), then V. Lepchenko (6-4 6-1), then T. Gibson (6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Alexandrova wins 46 % (43 of 93), A. Sasnovich 44 % (33 of 75). In deciding sets, E. Alexandrova wins 50 % of the time (96 matches), A. Sasnovich 48 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, E. Alexandrova turned 20 % of matches around (118 occasions), A. Sasnovich 17 % (122 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Alexandrova went on to win 85 % of matches, A. Sasnovich 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Alexandrova – A. Sasnovich

Who is the favourite between E. Alexandrova and A. Sasnovich?
The match is over: E. Alexandrova won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Alexandrova the favourite, priced at 1.65 against 2.19 for A. Sasnovich. Pronocast's model had E. Alexandrova winning at 57 %.
When is the E. Alexandrova – A. Sasnovich match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 08:05, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Alexandrova and A. Sasnovich?
Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Alexandrova – A. Sasnovich?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026