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E. Jones vs M. Hontama prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. JonesM. Hontama
58.7 %41.3 %
Model favourite
E. Jones
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · E. Jones

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 32hard court10:30
E. Jones
E. Jones
vs
M. Hontama
M. Hontama
1972
Elo
1946
1943
Elo on hard court
1870
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.60
Odds
2.24

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Jones
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. Hontama
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
13-17 (43%)
2026 record
17-15 (53%)
14-20 (41%)
Record on hard court
61-61 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Jones and M. Hontama, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Jones comes in with an Elo of 1972, against 1946 for M. Hontama: a 26-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 73 points in favour of E. Jones. E. Jones won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Hontama won 5. E. Jones has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Hontama has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make E. Jones the favourite.

The model gave E. Jones the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Jones won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Jones's last five matches

M. Hontama's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is E. Jones's first match of the tournament. This is M. Hontama's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Jones wins 64 % (7 of 11), M. Hontama 50 % (19 of 38). In deciding sets, E. Jones wins 50 % of the time (14 matches), M. Hontama 42 % (55 matches). After losing the first set, E. Jones turned 15 % of matches around (26 occasions), M. Hontama 20 % (85 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Jones went on to win 82 % of matches, M. Hontama 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Jones – M. Hontama

Who is the favourite between E. Jones and M. Hontama?
The match is over: E. Jones won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Jones the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.24 for M. Hontama. Pronocast's model had E. Jones winning at 59 %.
When is the E. Jones – M. Hontama match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 10:30, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Jones and M. Hontama?
No meeting between E. Jones and M. Hontama appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Jones – M. Hontama?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026