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E. Ribeiro vs P. Sakamoto prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. RibeiroP. Sakamoto
63.6 %36.4 %
Model favourite
E. Ribeiro
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · P. Sakamoto

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 32clay15:10
E. Ribeiro
E. Ribeiro
vs
P. Sakamoto
P. Sakamoto
1800
Elo
1739
1793
Elo on clay
1672
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
10
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.53
Odds
2.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Ribeiro
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
P. Sakamoto
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
19-20 (49%)
2026 record
10-13 (43%)
50-63 (44%)
Record on clay
69-71 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Ribeiro and P. Sakamoto, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Ribeiro comes in with an Elo of 1800, against 1739 for P. Sakamoto: a 61-point edge. On clay, the gap is 121 points in favour of E. Ribeiro. E. Ribeiro won 5 of the last ten matches, P. Sakamoto won 8. E. Ribeiro has 3 wins in the last five matches. P. Sakamoto has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to P. Sakamoto. Bookmakers make E. Ribeiro the favourite.

The model gave E. Ribeiro the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Sakamoto won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Ribeiro's last five matches

P. Sakamoto's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is E. Ribeiro's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, P. Sakamoto beat V. Goncalves (6-4 6-2), then S. De La Fuente (2-6 6-2 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Ribeiro wins 31 % (10 of 32), P. Sakamoto 64 % (28 of 44). In deciding sets, E. Ribeiro wins 47 % of the time (36 matches), P. Sakamoto 48 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, E. Ribeiro turned 11 % of matches around (65 occasions), P. Sakamoto 20 % (75 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Ribeiro went on to win 85 % of matches, P. Sakamoto 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Ribeiro – P. Sakamoto

Who is the favourite between E. Ribeiro and P. Sakamoto?
The match is over: P. Sakamoto won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Ribeiro the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.47 for P. Sakamoto. Pronocast's model had E. Ribeiro winning at 64 %.
When is the E. Ribeiro – P. Sakamoto match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between E. Ribeiro and P. Sakamoto?
No meeting between E. Ribeiro and P. Sakamoto appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Ribeiro – P. Sakamoto?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026