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G. Heide vs P. Boscardin Dias prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
G. HeideP. Boscardin Dias
80.5 %19.5 %
Model favourite
G. Heide
Probability
80 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · G. Heide

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaSemi-finalclay20:30
G. Heide
G. Heide
vs
P. Boscardin Dias
P. Boscardin Dias
2075
Elo
1873
2110
Elo on clay
1860
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.19
Odds
4.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Heide
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
P. Boscardin Dias
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 5
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
4 wins
Current streak
3 wins
37-20 (65%)
2026 record
23-24 (49%)
95-66 (59%)
Record on clay
103-105 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Heide and P. Boscardin Dias, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Heide comes in with an Elo of 2075, against 1873 for P. Boscardin Dias: a 202-point edge. On clay, the gap is 250 points in favour of G. Heide. G. Heide won 8 of the last ten matches, P. Boscardin Dias won 6. G. Heide has 4 wins in the last five matches. P. Boscardin Dias has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, G. Heide leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite.

The model gave G. Heide the win at 80 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Heide won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. Heide's last five matches

P. Boscardin Dias's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

G. Heide leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Heide beat H. Casanova (6-2 6-1), then F. Meligeni Alves (6-3 6-4), then L. Midon (6-2 6-4). To reach this round, P. Boscardin Dias beat V. H. Remondy Pagotto (6-4 6-2), then G. A. Olivieri (6-4 6-2), then L. A. Miguel (6-3 5-7 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Heide wins 57 % (35 of 61), P. Boscardin Dias 50 % (25 of 50). In deciding sets, G. Heide wins 43 % of the time (60 matches), P. Boscardin Dias 57 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, G. Heide turned 13 % of matches around (76 occasions), P. Boscardin Dias 15 % (109 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Heide went on to win 84 % of matches, P. Boscardin Dias 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Heide – P. Boscardin Dias

Who is the favourite between G. Heide and P. Boscardin Dias?
The match is over: G. Heide won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.50 for P. Boscardin Dias. Pronocast's model had G. Heide winning at 80 %.
When is the G. Heide – P. Boscardin Dias match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 20:30, at the Curitiba tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Heide and P. Boscardin Dias?
Since 2020, G. Heide leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Heide – P. Boscardin Dias?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026