G. Heide vs G. I. Justo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
G. HeideG. I. Justo
73.6 %26.4 %
Model favourite
G. Heide
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · G. I. Justo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaFinalclay20:20
G. Heide
G. Heide
vs
G. I. Justo
G. I. Justo
2084
Elo
1964
2118
Elo on clay
1965
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
6
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.22
Odds
3.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Heide
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
G. I. Justo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 5
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
5 wins
Current streak
4 wins
38-20 (66%)
2026 record
40-23 (63%)
96-66 (59%)
Record on clay
84-58 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Heide and G. I. Justo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Heide comes in with an Elo of 2084, against 1964 for G. I. Justo: a 120-point edge. On clay, the gap is 152 points in favour of G. Heide. G. Heide won 8 of the last ten matches, G. I. Justo won 6. G. Heide has 5 wins in the last five matches. G. I. Justo has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, G. Heide leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite.

The model gave G. Heide the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. I. Justo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

G. Heide's last five matches

G. I. Justo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

G. Heide leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Heide beat H. Casanova (6-2 6-1), then F. Meligeni Alves (6-3 6-4), then L. Midon (6-2 6-4), then P. Boscardin Dias (6-2 6-3). To reach this round, G. I. Justo beat F. Roncadelli (7-6 6-2), then P. Sakamoto (6-2 6-4), then G. Villanueva (6-2 6-4), then T. Barrios Vera (4-6 6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Heide wins 57 % (35 of 61), G. I. Justo 51 % (19 of 37). In deciding sets, G. Heide wins 43 % of the time (60 matches), G. I. Justo 49 % (43 matches). After losing the first set, G. Heide turned 13 % of matches around (76 occasions), G. I. Justo 17 % (64 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Heide went on to win 84 % of matches, G. I. Justo 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Heide – G. I. Justo

Who is the favourite between G. Heide and G. I. Justo?
The match is over: G. I. Justo won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 3.38 for G. I. Justo. Pronocast's model had G. Heide winning at 74 %.
When is the G. Heide – G. I. Justo match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 20:20, at the Curitiba tournament (Final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Heide and G. I. Justo?
Since 2020, G. Heide leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Heide – G. I. Justo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026