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G. Heide vs L. Midon prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
G. HeideL. Midon
67.7 %32.3 %
Model favourite
G. Heide
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · G. Heide

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaQuarter-finalclay21:50
G. Heide
G. Heide
vs
L. Midon
L. Midon
2063
Elo
1957
2098
Elo on clay
1978
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.33
Odds
2.66

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Heide
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Midon
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 5
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
36-20 (64%)
2026 record
31-21 (60%)
94-66 (59%)
Record on clay
75-60 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Heide and L. Midon, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Heide comes in with an Elo of 2063, against 1957 for L. Midon: a 106-point edge. On clay, the gap is 119 points in favour of G. Heide. G. Heide won 8 of the last ten matches, L. Midon won 6. G. Heide has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Midon has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite.

The model gave G. Heide the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Heide won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. Heide's last five matches

L. Midon's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Heide beat H. Casanova (6-2 6-1), then F. Meligeni Alves (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, L. Midon beat M. Soto (6-3 6-3), then B. Fernandez (6-2 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Heide wins 57 % (35 of 61), L. Midon 53 % (18 of 34). In deciding sets, G. Heide wins 43 % of the time (60 matches), L. Midon 52 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, G. Heide turned 13 % of matches around (76 occasions), L. Midon 18 % (61 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Heide went on to win 84 % of matches, L. Midon 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Heide – L. Midon

Who is the favourite between G. Heide and L. Midon?
The match is over: G. Heide won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite, priced at 1.33 against 2.66 for L. Midon. Pronocast's model had G. Heide winning at 68 %.
When is the G. Heide – L. Midon match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 21:50, at the Curitiba tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Heide and L. Midon?
No meeting between G. Heide and L. Midon appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Heide – L. Midon?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026