Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

F. Passaro vs J. P. Varillas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. PassaroJ. P. Varillas
67.0 %33.0 %
Model favourite
F. Passaro
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · J. P. Varillas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenovaRound of 16clay21:10
F. Passaro
F. Passaro
vs
J. P. Varillas
J. P. Varillas
2007
Elo
1945
1946
Elo on clay
1949
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.42
Odds
2.65

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Passaro
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
J. P. Varillas
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
16-14 (53%)
2026 record
26-19 (58%)
117-85 (58%)
Record on clay
170-101 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Passaro and J. P. Varillas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Passaro comes in with an Elo of 2007, against 1945 for J. P. Varillas: a 61-point edge. F. Passaro won 6 of the last ten matches, J. P. Varillas won 7. F. Passaro has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. P. Varillas has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. P. Varillas leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Passaro the favourite.

The model gave F. Passaro the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. P. Varillas won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Passaro's last five matches

J. P. Varillas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. P. Varillas leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Passaro beat L. Sonego (3-6 6-4 6-4). To reach this round, J. P. Varillas beat F. Arnaboldi (5-7 7-5 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Darderi, who beat A. Pellegrino in the final (6-1 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Passaro wins 54 % (56 of 103), J. P. Varillas 54 % (62 of 114). In deciding sets, F. Passaro wins 56 % of the time (117 matches), J. P. Varillas 58 % (105 matches). After losing the first set, F. Passaro turned 28 % of matches around (124 occasions), J. P. Varillas 19 % (132 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Passaro went on to win 79 % of matches, J. P. Varillas 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Passaro – J. P. Varillas

Who is the favourite between F. Passaro and J. P. Varillas?
The match is over: J. P. Varillas won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Passaro the favourite, priced at 1.42 against 2.65 for J. P. Varillas. Pronocast's model had F. Passaro winning at 67 %.
When is the F. Passaro – J. P. Varillas match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 21:10, at the Genova tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Passaro and J. P. Varillas?
Since 2020, J. P. Varillas leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Passaro – J. P. Varillas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026