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M. Dodig vs E. Dalla Valle prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. DodigE. Dalla Valle
60.8 %39.2 %
Model favourite
M. Dodig
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Dodig

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenovaQuarter-finalclay18:55
M. Dodig
M. Dodig
vs
E. Dalla Valle
E. Dalla Valle
2029
Elo
1970
2021
Elo on clay
1947
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Dodig
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
E. Dalla Valle
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 6
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
5 wins
Current streak
2 wins
27-16 (63%)
2026 record
42-19 (69%)
62-50 (55%)
Record on clay
91-66 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Dodig and E. Dalla Valle, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Dodig comes in with an Elo of 2029, against 1970 for E. Dalla Valle: a 59-point edge. On clay, the gap is 74 points in favour of M. Dodig. M. Dodig won 8 of the last ten matches, E. Dalla Valle won 6. M. Dodig has 5 wins in the last five matches. E. Dalla Valle has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Dodig the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Dodig won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Dodig's last five matches

E. Dalla Valle's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Dodig's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, E. Dalla Valle beat G. Crivellaro (6-2 6-1), then S. Travaglia (6-7 6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Darderi, who beat A. Pellegrino in the final (6-1 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Dodig wins 56 % (28 of 50), E. Dalla Valle 53 % (39 of 73). In deciding sets, M. Dodig wins 55 % of the time (62 matches), E. Dalla Valle 55 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, M. Dodig turned 24 % of matches around (67 occasions), E. Dalla Valle 18 % (87 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Dodig went on to win 80 % of matches, E. Dalla Valle 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Dodig – E. Dalla Valle

Who is the favourite between M. Dodig and E. Dalla Valle?
The match is over: M. Dodig won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Dodig winning at 61 %.
When is the M. Dodig – E. Dalla Valle match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 18:55, at the Genova tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Dodig and E. Dalla Valle?
No meeting between M. Dodig and E. Dalla Valle appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Dodig – E. Dalla Valle?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026