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L. Djere vs P. Martinez prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. DjereP. Martinez
65.0 %35.0 %
Model favourite
L. Djere
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · P. Martinez

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenovaSemi-finalclay18:30
L. Djere
L. Djere
vs
P. Martinez
P. Martinez
2073
Elo
1973
2157
Elo on clay
1943
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.46
Odds
2.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Djere
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
P. Martinez
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 7
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
24-14 (63%)
2026 record
27-26 (51%)
99-56 (64%)
Record on clay
109-93 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Djere and P. Martinez, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Djere comes in with an Elo of 2073, against 1973 for P. Martinez: a 100-point edge. On clay, the gap is 215 points in favour of L. Djere. L. Djere won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Martinez won 7. L. Djere has 3 wins in the last five matches. P. Martinez has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Djere leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make L. Djere the favourite.

The model gave L. Djere the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Martinez won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Djere's last five matches

P. Martinez's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Djere leads 3 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Djere beat M. Cecchinato (6-7 7-6 6-4), then G. Piraino (6-2 6-1), then S. Sakellaridis (6-1 5-7 7-5). To reach this round, P. Martinez beat F. Forti (7-5 7-6), then M. Zeitune (6-2 6-1), then V. Aboian (6-1 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Darderi, who beat A. Pellegrino in the final (6-1 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Djere wins 43 % (59 of 137), P. Martinez 54 % (60 of 111). In deciding sets, L. Djere wins 46 % of the time (94 matches), P. Martinez 50 % (101 matches). After losing the first set, L. Djere turned 19 % of matches around (116 occasions), P. Martinez 14 % (162 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Djere went on to win 83 % of matches, P. Martinez 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Djere – P. Martinez

Who is the favourite between L. Djere and P. Martinez?
The match is over: P. Martinez won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Djere the favourite, priced at 1.46 against 2.56 for P. Martinez. Pronocast's model had L. Djere winning at 65 %.
When is the L. Djere – P. Martinez match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 18:30, at the Genova tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. Djere and P. Martinez?
Since 2020, L. Djere leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Djere – P. Martinez?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026