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F. Pieczonka vs M. Trungelliti prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. PieczonkaM. Trungelliti
19.4 %80.6 %
Model favourite
M. Trungelliti
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Trungelliti

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinRound of 16clay16:15
F. Pieczonka
F. Pieczonka
vs
M. Trungelliti
M. Trungelliti
1807
Elo
2069
1819
Elo on clay
2042
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.40
Odds
1.20

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Pieczonka
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Trungelliti
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
14 – 15
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
7-4 (64%)
2026 record
29-25 (54%)
9-9 (50%)
Record on clay
136-75 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Pieczonka and M. Trungelliti, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Trungelliti comes in with an Elo of 2069, against 1807 for F. Pieczonka: a 261-point edge. On clay, the gap is 223 points in favour of M. Trungelliti. F. Pieczonka won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Trungelliti won 5. F. Pieczonka has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Trungelliti has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Trungelliti the favourite.

The model gave M. Trungelliti the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Trungelliti won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Pieczonka's last five matches

M. Trungelliti's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Pieczonka beat C. Sanchez Jover (7-5 6-3), then N. Mashtakov (6-3 6-2), then T. Pereira (5-7 6-4 7-5). To reach this round, M. Trungelliti beat S. Cuenin (7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Pieczonka wins 42 % (5 of 12), M. Trungelliti 49 % (53 of 109). In deciding sets, F. Pieczonka wins 50 % of the time (12 matches), M. Trungelliti 59 % (130 matches). After losing the first set, F. Pieczonka turned 17 % of matches around (18 occasions), M. Trungelliti 31 % (140 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Pieczonka went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Trungelliti 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Pieczonka – M. Trungelliti

Who is the favourite between F. Pieczonka and M. Trungelliti?
The match is over: M. Trungelliti won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Trungelliti the favourite, priced at 1.20 against 4.40 for F. Pieczonka. Pronocast's model had M. Trungelliti winning at 81 %.
When is the F. Pieczonka – M. Trungelliti match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 16:15, at the Szczecin tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Pieczonka and M. Trungelliti?
No meeting between F. Pieczonka and M. Trungelliti appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Pieczonka – M. Trungelliti?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026