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F. Roncadelli vs P. Boscardin Dias prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. RoncadelliP. Boscardin Dias
50.5 %49.5 %
Model favourite
F. Roncadelli
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · P. Boscardin Dias

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Round of 16clay17:05
F. Roncadelli
F. Roncadelli
vs
P. Boscardin Dias
P. Boscardin Dias
1889
Elo
1818
1901
Elo on clay
1808
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
1 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.84
Odds
1.86

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Roncadelli
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
P. Boscardin Dias
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
1 – 9
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
5 – 18
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
27-18 (60%)
2026 record
18-23 (44%)
59-53 (53%)
Record on clay
98-104 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Roncadelli and P. Boscardin Dias, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Roncadelli comes in with an Elo of 1889, against 1818 for P. Boscardin Dias: a 72-point edge. On clay, the gap is 94 points in favour of F. Roncadelli. F. Roncadelli won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Boscardin Dias won 1. F. Roncadelli has 3 wins in the last five matches. P. Boscardin Dias has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, P. Boscardin Dias leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Roncadelli the favourite.

The model gave F. Roncadelli the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Boscardin Dias won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Roncadelli's last five matches

P. Boscardin Dias's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

P. Boscardin Dias leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Roncadelli beat B. Fernandez (6-2 6-0). To reach this round, P. Boscardin Dias beat S. Rodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Roncadelli wins 60 % (15 of 25), P. Boscardin Dias 49 % (24 of 49). In deciding sets, F. Roncadelli wins 58 % of the time (38 matches), P. Boscardin Dias 56 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, F. Roncadelli turned 22 % of matches around (68 occasions), P. Boscardin Dias 14 % (107 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Roncadelli went on to win 89 % of matches, P. Boscardin Dias 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Roncadelli – P. Boscardin Dias

Who is the favourite between F. Roncadelli and P. Boscardin Dias?
The match is over: P. Boscardin Dias won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: F. Roncadelli is priced at 1.84, P. Boscardin Dias at 1.86. Pronocast's model had F. Roncadelli winning at 51 %.
When is the F. Roncadelli – P. Boscardin Dias match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 17:05, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Roncadelli and P. Boscardin Dias?
Since 2020, P. Boscardin Dias leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Roncadelli – P. Boscardin Dias?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026