F. Tenti vs M. Kestelboim prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction

F. TentiM. Kestelboim

18.8 %81.2 %

Model favourite: M. Kestelboim
Probability: 81 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-0 · F. Tenti

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Qualifyingclay15:10

F. Tenti

M. Kestelboim

1488
Elo: 1759; 1519
Elo on clay: 1759; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 3 / 10; 2
Recent matches: 0; –
Head-to-head: Edge; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Tenti

M. Kestelboim

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 3 – 7; 10 – 13
Sets won – lost: 7 – 16; 2 losses
Current streak: 1 loss; 5-4 (56%)
2026 record: 2-5 (29%); 13-17 (43%)
Record on clay: 44-39 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Tenti and M. Kestelboim, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Kestelboim comes in with an Elo of 1759, against 1488 for F. Tenti: a 272-point edge. On clay, the gap is 239 points in favour of M. Kestelboim. F. Tenti won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Kestelboim won 3. F. Tenti has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Kestelboim has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Kestelboim leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Kestelboim the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Tenti won 1-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Tenti's last five matches

DS. Rodriguez TavernaBuenos Aires 3 2026 · Qualifying · 21 September 20261-6 5-7
DN. MejiaBogota 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 July 20263-6 2-6
VC. Huertas Del PinoBogota 2026 · Qualifying · 6 July 20266-3 2-6 6-4
VP. BertranBogota 2026 · Qualifying · 5 July 20263-6 7-5 6-1
DF. Meligeni AlvesQuito 2026 · Qualifying · 29 June 20263-6 1-6

M. Kestelboim's last five matches

DI. RadulovLyon 2026 · Qualifying · 7 June 20263-6 6-2 3-6
VS. NagalHeilbronn 2026 · Qualifying · 1 June 20266-2 1-6 7-6
DM. SotoSanta Cruz 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 April 20265-7 1-6
DJ. P. VarillasAsuncion 2026 · Round of 32 · 18 March 20260-6 4-6
DJ. B. TorresTigre 2026 · Round of 32 · 17 February 20264-6 3-6

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Kestelboim leads 1 to 0

DM. KestelboimSan Miguel de Tucuman 2025 · Round of 16 · 24 April 20255-7 3-6

Road through the tournament

This is M. Kestelboim's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, F. Tenti wins 70 % of the time (10 matches), M. Kestelboim 58 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, F. Tenti turned 12 % of matches around (17 occasions), M. Kestelboim 10 % (39 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Tenti went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Kestelboim 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Tenti – M. Kestelboim

Who is the favourite between F. Tenti and M. Kestelboim?: The match is over: F. Tenti won 1-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Kestelboim winning at 81 %.
When is the F. Tenti – M. Kestelboim match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Tenti and M. Kestelboim?: Since 2020, M. Kestelboim leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Tenti – M. Kestelboim?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions