F. Urgesi vs O. Selekhmeteva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

F. UrgesiO. Selekhmeteva

37.8 %62.2 %

Model favourite: O. Selekhmeteva
Probability: 62 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · O. Selekhmeteva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoRound of 32clay18:40

F. Urgesi

O. Selekhmeteva

1865
Elo: 1968; 1847
Elo on clay: 1920; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Urgesi

O. Selekhmeteva

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 10 – 14
Sets won – lost: 10 – 15; 1 loss
Current streak: 2 losses; 4-5 (44%)
2026 record: 19-25 (43%); 8-13 (38%)
Record on clay: 51-37 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Urgesi and O. Selekhmeteva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

O. Selekhmeteva comes in with an Elo of 1968, against 1865 for F. Urgesi: a 103-point edge. On clay, the gap is 73 points in favour of O. Selekhmeteva. F. Urgesi won 5 of the last ten matches, O. Selekhmeteva won 4. F. Urgesi has 2 wins in the last five matches. O. Selekhmeteva has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave O. Selekhmeteva the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. O. Selekhmeteva won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Urgesi's last five matches

DM. BulgaruAntalya 4 (Turkey) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20266-1 3-6 5-7
VE. YanevaPalermo 2026 · Round of 32 · 20 July 20265-7 7-6 6-1
DF. JonesRome 2026 · Round of 16 · 15 July 20266-2 4-6 1-6
VY. KotliarRome 2026 · Round of 32 · 13 July 20266-3 6-0
DT. ZidansekModena (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 9 June 20265-7 0-6

O. Selekhmeteva's last five matches

DN. SchunkValencia 2026 · Round of 32 · 15 September 20265-7 4-6
DK. RakhimovaUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 September 20263-6 0-6
VA. ItoUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20266-2 6-4
DK. VolynetsPhiladelphia (Usa) 2026 · Semi-final · 29 August 20263-6 6-7
VC. JauffretPhiladelphia (Usa) 2026 · Round of 16 · 27 August 20264-6 7-6 6-3

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Urgesi's first match of the tournament. This is O. Selekhmeteva's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, F. Urgesi turned 25 % of matches around (12 occasions), O. Selekhmeteva 21 % (67 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Urgesi – O. Selekhmeteva

Who is the favourite between F. Urgesi and O. Selekhmeteva?: The match is over: O. Selekhmeteva won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had O. Selekhmeteva winning at 62 %.
When is the F. Urgesi – O. Selekhmeteva match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 18:40, at the Tolentino tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Urgesi and O. Selekhmeteva?: No meeting between F. Urgesi and O. Selekhmeteva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Urgesi – O. Selekhmeteva?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions