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G. Maristany vs J. Grabher prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
G. MaristanyJ. Grabher
52.4 %47.6 %
Model favourite
G. Maristany
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · J. Grabher

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoFinalclay16:20
G. Maristany
G. Maristany
vs
J. Grabher
J. Grabher
2047
Elo
2069
2039
Elo on clay
2067
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
7
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.75
Odds
1.91

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Maristany
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
J. Grabher
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
4 wins
Current streak
4 wins
21-13 (62%)
2026 record
19-19 (50%)
30-30 (50%)
Record on clay
63-45 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Maristany and J. Grabher, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Grabher comes in with an Elo of 2069, against 2047 for G. Maristany: a 22-point edge. On clay, the gap is 28 points in favour of J. Grabher. G. Maristany won 8 of the last ten matches, J. Grabher won 7. G. Maristany has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. Grabher has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Maristany the favourite.

The model gave G. Maristany the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Grabher won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

G. Maristany's last five matches

J. Grabher's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Maristany beat D. Papamichail (6-3 6-3), then M. Lombardini (6-2 6-3), then R. Masarova (6-4 6-3), then J. Pieri (6-1 6-2). To reach this round, J. Grabher beat J. Ruggeri (4-6 7-5 6-3), then A. Tubello (3-6 6-3 6-4), then N. Brancaccio (2-6 6-1 6-4), then O. Selekhmeteva (7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Maristany wins 40 % (6 of 15), J. Grabher 50 % (19 of 38). In deciding sets, G. Maristany wins 59 % of the time (22 matches), J. Grabher 48 % (50 matches). After losing the first set, G. Maristany turned 9 % of matches around (35 occasions), J. Grabher 12 % (97 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Maristany went on to win 86 % of matches, J. Grabher 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Maristany – J. Grabher

Who is the favourite between G. Maristany and J. Grabher?
The match is over: J. Grabher won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Maristany the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 1.91 for J. Grabher. Pronocast's model had G. Maristany winning at 52 %.
When is the G. Maristany – J. Grabher match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 16:20, at the Tolentino tournament (Final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Maristany and J. Grabher?
No meeting between G. Maristany and J. Grabher appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Maristany – J. Grabher?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tolentino

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026