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G. Maristany vs J. Pieri prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
G. MaristanyJ. Pieri
83.2 %16.8 %
Model favourite
G. Maristany
Probability
83 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · G. Maristany

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoSemi-finalclay16:25
G. Maristany
G. Maristany
vs
J. Pieri
J. Pieri
2039
Elo
1793
2030
Elo on clay
1793
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
7
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.13
Odds
5.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Maristany
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
J. Pieri
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
5 wins
20-13 (61%)
2026 record
6-8 (43%)
29-30 (49%)
Record on clay
19-17 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Maristany and J. Pieri, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Maristany comes in with an Elo of 2039, against 1793 for J. Pieri: a 246-point edge. On clay, the gap is 236 points in favour of G. Maristany. G. Maristany won 8 of the last ten matches, J. Pieri won 6. G. Maristany has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. Pieri has 5 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Maristany the favourite.

The model gave G. Maristany the win at 83 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Maristany won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. Maristany's last five matches

J. Pieri's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Maristany beat D. Papamichail (6-3 6-3), then M. Lombardini (6-2 6-3), then R. Masarova (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, J. Pieri beat Y. Morderger (7-5 6-3), then A. Kucmova (6-0 6-3), then G. De Angelis (6-2 6-0), then L. Romero Gormaz (3-6 6-4 6-1), then M. Ristic (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Maristany wins 40 % (6 of 15), J. Pieri 45 % (5 of 11). In deciding sets, G. Maristany wins 59 % of the time (22 matches), J. Pieri 62 % (13 matches). After losing the first set, G. Maristany turned 9 % of matches around (35 occasions), J. Pieri 22 % (27 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Maristany went on to win 86 % of matches, J. Pieri 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Maristany – J. Pieri

Who is the favourite between G. Maristany and J. Pieri?
The match is over: G. Maristany won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Maristany the favourite, priced at 1.13 against 5.00 for J. Pieri. Pronocast's model had G. Maristany winning at 83 %.
When is the G. Maristany – J. Pieri match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 16:25, at the Tolentino tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Maristany and J. Pieri?
No meeting between G. Maristany and J. Pieri appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Maristany – J. Pieri?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tolentino

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026