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M. Pucinelli de Almeida vs T. Barrios Vera prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaT. Barrios Vera
48.6 %51.4 %
Model favourite
T. Barrios Vera
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · T. Barrios Vera

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaQuarter-finalclay16:20
M. Pucinelli de Almeida
M. Pucinelli de Almeida
vs
T. Barrios Vera
T. Barrios Vera
1971
Elo
1992
1975
Elo on clay
1933
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.96
Odds
1.75

Community · Who wins?

1 vote
M. Pucinelli de Almeida 0 %100 % T. Barrios Vera

Community vote before the match. It does not come from the model.

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Pucinelli de Almeida
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Barrios Vera
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
28-16 (64%)
2026 record
24-26 (48%)
136-104 (57%)
Record on clay
155-101 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Pucinelli de Almeida and T. Barrios Vera, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Barrios Vera comes in with an Elo of 1992, against 1971 for M. Pucinelli de Almeida: a 21-point edge. On clay, the gap is 42 points in favour of M. Pucinelli de Almeida. M. Pucinelli de Almeida won 5 of the last ten matches, T. Barrios Vera won 5. M. Pucinelli de Almeida has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Barrios Vera has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make T. Barrios Vera the favourite.

The model gave T. Barrios Vera the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Barrios Vera won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Pucinelli de Almeida's last five matches

T. Barrios Vera's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 2 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Pucinelli de Almeida beat P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos (3-6 6-3 6-0), then J. Reis Da Silva (6-3 4-6 6-3). To reach this round, T. Barrios Vera beat L. J. Rodriguez (6-1 6-1), then J. B. Torres (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Pucinelli de Almeida wins 41 % (34 of 82), T. Barrios Vera 59 % (72 of 122). In deciding sets, M. Pucinelli de Almeida wins 42 % of the time (97 matches), T. Barrios Vera 54 % (117 matches). After losing the first set, M. Pucinelli de Almeida turned 18 % of matches around (106 occasions), T. Barrios Vera 18 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Pucinelli de Almeida went on to win 79 % of matches, T. Barrios Vera 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Pucinelli de Almeida – T. Barrios Vera

Who is the favourite between M. Pucinelli de Almeida and T. Barrios Vera?
The match is over: T. Barrios Vera won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Barrios Vera the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 1.96 for M. Pucinelli de Almeida. Pronocast's model had T. Barrios Vera winning at 51 %.
When is the M. Pucinelli de Almeida – T. Barrios Vera match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 16:20, at the Curitiba tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Pucinelli de Almeida and T. Barrios Vera?
Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Pucinelli de Almeida – T. Barrios Vera?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026