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G. Maristany vs R. Masarova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
G. MaristanyR. Masarova
48.6 %51.4 %
Model favourite
R. Masarova
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · G. Maristany

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoQuarter-finalclay12:25
G. Maristany
G. Maristany
vs
R. Masarova
R. Masarova
2022
Elo
2044
2008
Elo on clay
2065
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
7
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.94
Odds
1.75

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Maristany
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
R. Masarova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
11 – 15
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
19-13 (59%)
2026 record
26-20 (57%)
28-30 (48%)
Record on clay
67-42 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Maristany and R. Masarova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Masarova comes in with an Elo of 2044, against 2022 for G. Maristany: a 22-point edge. On clay, the gap is 57 points in favour of R. Masarova. G. Maristany won 7 of the last ten matches, R. Masarova won 4. G. Maristany has 4 wins in the last five matches. R. Masarova has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to R. Masarova. Bookmakers make R. Masarova the favourite.

The model gave R. Masarova the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Maristany won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

G. Maristany's last five matches

R. Masarova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. Maristany beat D. Papamichail (6-3 6-3), then M. Lombardini (6-2 6-3). To reach this round, R. Masarova beat L. Zaar (5-7 6-1 7-5), then I. M. Serban (5-7 6-2 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Maristany wins 40 % (6 of 15), R. Masarova 48 % (34 of 71). In deciding sets, G. Maristany wins 59 % of the time (22 matches), R. Masarova 54 % (110 matches). After losing the first set, G. Maristany turned 9 % of matches around (35 occasions), R. Masarova 33 % (111 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Maristany went on to win 86 % of matches, R. Masarova 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Maristany – R. Masarova

Who is the favourite between G. Maristany and R. Masarova?
The match is over: G. Maristany won 2-0. Bookmakers make R. Masarova the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 1.94 for G. Maristany. Pronocast's model had R. Masarova winning at 51 %.
When is the G. Maristany – R. Masarova match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 12:25, at the Tolentino tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Maristany and R. Masarova?
No meeting between G. Maristany and R. Masarova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Maristany – R. Masarova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tolentino

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026