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H. Rune vs D. Altmaier prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. RuneD. Altmaier
65.9 %34.1 %
Model favourite
H. Rune
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · D. Altmaier

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court15:15
H. Rune
H. Rune
vs
D. Altmaier
D. Altmaier
2249
Elo
2068
2151
Elo on hard court
1878
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.44
Odds
2.77

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Rune
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
D. Altmaier
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
3 – 7
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
8 – 17
1 loss
Current streak
4 losses
2-1 (67%)
2026 record
20-27 (43%)
112-63 (64%)
Record on hard court
76-86 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Rune and D. Altmaier, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Rune comes in with an Elo of 2249, against 2068 for D. Altmaier: a 181-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 273 points in favour of H. Rune. H. Rune won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Altmaier won 3. H. Rune has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Altmaier has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Rune leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make H. Rune the favourite.

The model gave H. Rune the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Altmaier won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Rune's last five matches

D. Altmaier's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Rune leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is H. Rune's first match of the tournament. This is D. Altmaier's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Rune wins 62 % (88 of 142), D. Altmaier 51 % (88 of 173). In deciding sets, H. Rune wins 59 % of the time (111 matches), D. Altmaier 55 % (128 matches). After losing the first set, H. Rune turned 32 % of matches around (124 occasions), D. Altmaier 20 % (184 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Rune went on to win 89 % of matches, D. Altmaier 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Rune – D. Altmaier

Who is the favourite between H. Rune and D. Altmaier?
The match is over: D. Altmaier won 2-1. Bookmakers make H. Rune the favourite, priced at 1.44 against 2.77 for D. Altmaier. Pronocast's model had H. Rune winning at 66 %.
When is the H. Rune – D. Altmaier match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 15:15, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Rune and D. Altmaier?
Since 2020, H. Rune leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Rune – D. Altmaier?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026