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I. Jovic vs I. Swiatek prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
I. JovicI. Swiatek
33.9 %66.1 %
Model favourite
I. Swiatek
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · I. Swiatek

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 16hard court07:10
I. Jovic
I. Jovic
vs
I. Swiatek
I. Swiatek
2388
Elo
2518
2287
Elo on hard court
2415
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.68
Odds
1.46

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

I. Jovic
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
I. Swiatek
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
8 – 2
18 – 4
Sets won – lost
17 – 6
6 wins
Current streak
2 wins
40-19 (68%)
2026 record
37-13 (74%)
44-24 (65%)
Record on hard court
184-47 (80%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by I. Jovic and I. Swiatek, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Swiatek comes in with an Elo of 2518, against 2388 for I. Jovic: a 130-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 129 points in favour of I. Swiatek. I. Jovic won 9 of the last ten matches, I. Swiatek won 8. I. Jovic has 5 wins in the last five matches. I. Swiatek has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make I. Swiatek the favourite.

The model gave I. Swiatek the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Swiatek won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

I. Jovic's last five matches

I. Swiatek's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, I. Jovic beat H. Dart (2-6 6-3 6-3), then K. Rakhimova (6-1 7-5). To reach this round, I. Swiatek beat X. Gao (6-2 6-3), then D. Vekic (4-6 7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, I. Jovic wins 50 % (12 of 24), I. Swiatek 61 % (36 of 59). In deciding sets, I. Jovic wins 59 % of the time (34 matches), I. Swiatek 63 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, I. Jovic turned 14 % of matches around (35 occasions), I. Swiatek 37 % (82 occasions). After winning the first set, I. Jovic went on to win 90 % of matches, I. Swiatek 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about I. Jovic – I. Swiatek

Who is the favourite between I. Jovic and I. Swiatek?
The match is over: I. Swiatek won 2-0. Bookmakers make I. Swiatek the favourite, priced at 1.46 against 2.68 for I. Jovic. Pronocast's model had I. Swiatek winning at 66 %.
When is the I. Jovic – I. Swiatek match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 07:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between I. Jovic and I. Swiatek?
No meeting between I. Jovic and I. Swiatek appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for I. Jovic – I. Swiatek?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026