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S. Tsitsipas vs Y. Nishioka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. TsitsipasY. Nishioka
73.9 %26.1 %
Model favourite
S. Tsitsipas
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · S. Tsitsipas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court04:10
S. Tsitsipas
S. Tsitsipas
vs
Y. Nishioka
Y. Nishioka
2258
Elo
2079
2142
Elo on hard court
2037
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Tsitsipas
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Y. Nishioka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
17 – 11
Sets won – lost
16 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
2 losses
30-20 (60%)
2026 record
1-3 (25%)
123-73 (63%)
Record on hard court
111-69 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Tsitsipas and Y. Nishioka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Tsitsipas comes in with an Elo of 2258, against 2079 for Y. Nishioka: a 179-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 105 points in favour of S. Tsitsipas. S. Tsitsipas won 7 of the last ten matches, Y. Nishioka won 7. S. Tsitsipas has 4 wins in the last five matches. Y. Nishioka has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Tsitsipas the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Tsitsipas won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Tsitsipas's last five matches

Y. Nishioka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is S. Tsitsipas's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Nishioka's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Tsitsipas wins 55 % (106 of 194), Y. Nishioka 60 % (52 of 86). In deciding sets, S. Tsitsipas wins 62 % of the time (102 matches), Y. Nishioka 62 % (78 matches). After losing the first set, S. Tsitsipas turned 28 % of matches around (130 occasions), Y. Nishioka 25 % (102 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Tsitsipas went on to win 90 % of matches, Y. Nishioka 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Tsitsipas – Y. Nishioka

Who is the favourite between S. Tsitsipas and Y. Nishioka?
The match is over: S. Tsitsipas won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Tsitsipas winning at 74 %.
When is the S. Tsitsipas – Y. Nishioka match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 04:10, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Tsitsipas and Y. Nishioka?
No meeting between S. Tsitsipas and Y. Nishioka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Tsitsipas – Y. Nishioka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026